Friday, March 30, 2007
Cubs leave Arizona with bats on fire
There are still two exhibition games remaining, but the numbers that our bats have been putting have really excite me. Derrek Lee, who doubled 12 times this month, led all of baseball with a .469 average (30-64), while Aramis Ramirez finished with a .387 (24-62) average. Both tied for the league lead with 19 RBI's, while Ramirez's 7 homeruns led the Cactus League.
Another player worth mentioning is Ryan Theriot, who definitely earned his spot on the roster. He hit .371 (26-70) while stealing seven bases in seven tries. Ronny Cedeno earned his spot, too. He hit .339 (20-59) and clubbed three homers, including a game-winner last week.
The Cubs were last in the National League last year in drawing walks, with only 395. Only three other teams in the league drew fewer than 500 walks and three teams managed more than 600. It appears, for the moment, however, that Lou Piniella and the Cubs fixed that problem. In 30 games, the team drew 109 walks, including 7 or more from six different players. Pro-rating that over a 162-game season, that's 589 walks, which would've been fifth in the National League last year. Also encouraging was the fact that our pitchers allowed just 90 walks, which pro-rates to 486, a much better improvement 687 walks, which was 65 more than any other team last year.
The Cubs also improved on last year's .741 team OPS, as six players had an OPS over or near .900: Derrek Lee (1.290), Aramis Ramirez (1.272), Ronny Cedeno (.985), Cliff Floyd (.970), Michael Barrett (.918), and Matt Murton (.880).
The .571 winning percentage the team posted this Spring computes to 93 wins, which would've not only won the division but would've trailed only the Mets in the entire league.
Of course, I understand how ridiculous all of this speculation is for two reasons, the most obvious being the fact that these numbers are from Spring Training; they don't count. Also, we're pro-rating a month's performance over the course of entire season.
Nonetheless, it does bring optimism to the upcoming season. Is next year finally here?
Tuesday, March 20, 2007
A look at the Spring numbers
Pitchers:
Carlos Zambrano: 1-1, 3.68 ERA; 14 2/3 IP, 15 H, 6 ER, 5 BB, 16 K.
Ted Lilly: 1-0, 2.08 ERA; 8 2/3 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 1 BB, 3 K.
Jason Marquis: 1-1, 2.00 ERA; 9 IP, 11 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 4 K.
Rich Hill: 1-1, 4.50 ERA; 10 IP, 8 H, 5 ER, 0 BB, 10 K.
Wade Miller: 1-0, 5.11 ERA; 12 1/3 IP, 19 H, 7 ER, 4 BB, 11 K.
Angel Guzman: 0-0, 6.52 ERA, 9 2/3 IP, 14 H, 7 ER, BB, 2 K.
Michael Wuertz: 0-0, 0.00 ERA; 2 IP, 2 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K.
Neal Cotts: 0-0, 7.20 ERA; 10 IP, 20 H, 8 ER, BB, 6 K.
Will Ohman: 0-1, 5.14 ERA; 7 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 8 K.
Scott Eyre: 0-0, 4.50 ERA; 6 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 3 BB, 7 K.
Bobby Howry: 0-0, 5.63 ERA; 8 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 2 BB, 4 K.
Ryan Dempster: 0-0, 2.25 ERA; 4 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 5 K.
Catchers:
Michael Barrett: 10-34 (.294), 3 HR, 6 R, 9 RBI; .450 OBP, .922 OPS; 1/1 SB.
Henry Blanco: 2-21 (.095), 0 HR, 1 R, 0 RBI; .095 OBP, .190 OPS.
Infielders:
Derrek Lee: 20-39 (.513), 2 HR, 11 R, 10 RBI; .537 OBP, 1.332 OPS.
Mark DeRosa: 7-29 (.241), 0 HR, 3 R, 1 RBI; .405 OBP, .681 OPS.
Aramis Ramirez: 13-37 (.351), 3 HR, 7 R, 10 RBI; .415 OBP, 1.118 OPS.
Cesar Izturis: 9-25 (.360), 0 HR, 8 R, 2 RBI; .500 OBP, .900 OPS.
Daryle Ward: 5-32 (.156), 1 HR, 4 R, 6 RBI; .182 OBP, .495 OPS.
Ryan Theriot: 18-46 (.391), 0 HR, 8 R, 5 RBI; .451 OBP, 1.016 OPS; 3/3 SB.
Outfielders:
Matt Murton: 11-42 (.262), 3 HR, 7 R, 9 RBI; .353 OBP, .877 OPS.
Alfonso Soriano: 13-40 (.325), 2 HR, 8 R, 3 RBI; .372 OBP, .947 OPS; 2/3 SB.
Jacque Jones: 13-40 (.325), 1 HR, 8 R, 12 RBI; .341 OBP, .816 OPS; 3/3 SB.
Cliff Floyd: 5-15 (.333), 1 HR, 4 R, 5 RBI; .444 OBP, 1.044 OPS.
ON THE BUBBLE:
Infielders:
Ronny Cedeno: 11-39 (.282), 1 HR, 7 R, 3 RBI; .378 OBP, .788 OPS; 1/1 SB.
Outfielders:
Angel Pagan: 3-16 (.188), 0 HR, 1 R, 0 RBI; .350 OBP, .538 OPS; 4/4 SB.
Buck Coats: 14-36 (.389), 0 HR, 5 R, 3 RBI; .450 OBP, .922 OPS; 1/1 SB.
IMPORTANT NOTABLES:
Pitchers:
Rocky Cherry: 0-1, 1.13 ERA; 8 IP, 5 H, ER, 4 BB, 11 K; 3/3 Saves.
Carmen Pignatiello: 0-1, 1.69 ERA; 5 1/3 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 1 K.
Mark Prior: 0-1, 18.90 ERA; 3 1/3 IP, 8 H, 7 ER, 5 BB, 0 K.
Kerry Wood: 1-0, 12.00 ERA; 3 IP, 3 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 4 K.
Jeff Samardzija: 0-0, 1.80 ERA; 5 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K.
Catchers:
Jake Fox: 6-13 (.462), 2 HR, 5 R, 7 RBI; .533 OBP, 1.610 OPS.
Geovany Soto: 5-13 (.295), 0 HR, 2 R, 6 RBI; .438 OBP, 1.130 OPS.
Infielders:
Micah Hoffpauir: 6-17 (.353), 1 HR, 7 R, 3 RBI; .450 OBP, 1.215 OPS.
Casey McGehee: 4-12 (.333), 0 HR, 0 R, 3 RBI; .385 OBP, .802 OPS.
Eric Patterson: 5-12 (.417), 1 HR, 3 R, 2 RBI; .417 OBP, 1.167 OPS; 1/1 SB.
Outfielders:
Felix Pie: 17-46 (.370), 0 HR, 6 R, 5 RBI; .420 OBP, .855 OPS; 3/4 SB.
Monday, March 19, 2007
Cubs score 27 runs in one day; 25-man roster becomes clearer
Against Seattle, Soriano led the game off with a homerun, but the offense kept pouring it on. Theriot and Lee each collected four hits in the game, while Ramirez, Barrett, Floyd, Rojas, and McGehee all joined Soriano for a two-hit day.
Barrett homered twice in the game, while Ramirez's homerun capped a five-run first.
Wade Miller, the likely fifth starter, started today's game going 3 1/3 innings while allowing six hits and three earned runs, a three-run blast to Beltre. Howry and Cotts each added more than one inning of scoreless relief, and most encouraging of all was the fact that the entire staff did not allow a walk. I guess it's easier to pitch with a double-digit lead, which the Cubs had had since the fourth inning.
Meanwhile in Phoenix, the other half of the Cubs also scored five times in the first, thanks in large part to a three-run homerun by center fielder Jacque Jones. Felix Pie, Ronny Cedeno, and Daryle Ward each had multi-hit days along with Jones, while Ward drove in four.
Sean Gallagher started for the Cubs and allowed three runs over three innings. Sean Marshall, Roberto Novoa, and Rocky Cherry all tossed scoreless innings in relief, which is encouraging news.
Before the games, however, manager Lou Piniella announced that he does not intend on rushing Prior or Wood into the regular season, meaning that the two pitchers will likely stay in Arizona for atleast the beginning of April. Michael Wuertz and Roberto Novoa returned to action three days ago, each tossing a scoreless inning, meaning they could take up spots in the bullpen, but because of their uncertainity to be able to work on back-to-back days, Piniella may look elsewhere for the beginning of the season.
With Guzman announced to be the team's long reliever, six spots remain in the bullpen, five of which will go to Howry, Eyre, Ohman, Cotts, and closer Ryan Dempster. The last two weeks of camp will show whether it's Wuertz, Novoa, or Cherry that gets that spot. The five starters will be Zambrano, Lilly, Marquis, Hill, and Miller, leaving room for only five backup players on the roster.
After counting catcher Henry Blanco, infielders Ryan Theriot and Daryle Ward, and outfielder Cliff Floyd (or Murton, whichever way you see it), one spot remains, with three contenders: Cedeno, Pagan, and Coats.
Thursday, March 15, 2007
Floyd, Ramirez homer, but bad news for Prior, Wood
The news surrounding Cubs camp, however, is the future status of pitchers Mark Prior and Kerry Wood.
Prior will go on to make his previously scheduled start in minor league camp on Friday, but reports indicate that he may not break camp with the big club, putting Wade Miller solidly in the lead for the fifth spot in the rotation. Also, Kerry Wood suffered a minor strain in his right arm, but luckily for the team, his modulus of elasticity isn't that high, so the stress on the team won't be all that great (sorry, you engineers got the joke though). His status is day-to-day.
If Prior and Wood don't make the team, Guzman is almost a shoe-in for the bullpen, but Piniella is going to want to carry twelve pitchers, especially in April, meaning there are still two spots to fill (previously filled by Novoa and Wuertz). Cherry seems like he'll make the team, but the last spot is still undecided.
Tuesday, March 13, 2007
Position battles continue as off-day is upon us
To me, 22 of the 25 roster spots are settled. Zambrano, Lilly, Hill, and Marquis are four of the five starters, while the bullpen should consist of Cotts, Ohman, Eyre, Wood, Dempster, and two others. The two catchers are obvious, and the announcement that Ryan Theriot will break camp with the big team makes the six infielders equally obvious. The outfielders should include Murton, Soriano, Jones, Floyd, and Pagan.
The final spot in the rotation I considered to be Prior's to lose, and so far, he has. The once highly coveted pitcher has allowed seven earned runs in 3.1 innings and will make a minor league start this Friday. Of most concern is the fact that Prior has only been able to throw one pitch all spring (the fastball) and has failed to get much velocity or control behind it. Looking to fill that spot include prospect Angel Guzman, who's allowed just a pair of earned runs in 6.1 innings as well as former Astros ace Wade Miller, who has a 4.00 ERA but a 1.89 WHIP in nine innings. Lefty Neal Cotts has apparently run himself out of contention, by allowing six earned runs and seventeen hits in 7 innings, but should still make the team as the long reliever.
Heading into Spring Training, Roberto Novoa and Michael Wuertz were locks in the bullpen for me, but now it appears that the door has been swung open for youngsters Rocky Cherry and Carmen Pignatiello. Cherry has been serving as the team's closer in March, converting all three of his save opportunities while posting allowing just a run on four hits, while fanning nine batters in 5.1 innings. Meanwhile, Pignatiello has allowed just one hit in 5 innings.
It's more likely, however, that Guzman, Miller, and Prior all make the big league club, leaving Cherry and Pignatiello to start yet another season in the minor league ranks.
Of course, I understand how foolish it is to be debating roster spots when no pitcher has thrown more than nine innings, but with Opening Day less than three weeks away, we have to atleast start speculating.
Left field is also a job up for grabs this March. Though initially believed to be Matt Murton's job, the acquisition of free-agent Cliff Floyd brings about a whole new scenario of possibilities. Despite the fact that Murton is hitting .308 (8-26) and has two homeruns this spring, it appears that manager Lou Piniella likes the idea of having Cliff Floyd's bat in the middle of the lineup, allowing him to move Jacque Jones into the two spot of the batting order.
Other notable Cubs who have had good Spring numbers thus far include first basemen Derrek Lee, who leads the team with a .520 (13-25) average. Ramirez, despite a slow start, is now hitting .375 (9-24) and Izturis' .412 (7-17) has been a pleasant surprise. More good news is that Barrett appears to be shaking off his injury issues at the end of last season; he has a .333 (8-24) average.
Most encouraging for me, however, is the performance of the pitching staff, mainly the fact that Jason Marquis has yet to implode. Marquis has allowed just two earned runs in 9 innings and more importantly no homers and just two walks, while Lilly has surrendered one run on four hits and (get this) no walks in 5 innings. Zambrano and Hill have looked equally solid.
Monday, March 12, 2007
Zambrano triples, falls, then fans five in Cubs win
Carlos Zambrano was the starting pitcher of the game, but was able to bat before pitching thanks to a six-run first inning by the Cubs. With a runner on second and two outs, Zambrano lined an 0-2 pitch off of the right field wall and fell en route to third base. While it provided a scare for many of the Cubs, Zambrano showed he was just fine, throwing four innings and allowing just two runs on three hits, while fanning five. Most important of all, Zambrano didn't walk a single batter, showing possible signs of improving from his league-high 115 walks allowed last year.
The battle for left field also got a bit interesting as Cliff Floyd made his debut with the Cubs. Floyd, who was sidelined due to a foot surgery he underwent in the winter, knocked in two runs in his first at-bat. Murton, the other candidate for left field, did not play today. He has a .304 average (7-23) and has hit 2 homeruns this spring.
Also on the mound today for the Cubs, were Samardzija, who tossed two scoreless frames and Ohman and Pignatiello, who each contributed one scoreless inning.
Saturday, March 10, 2007
Hill, Theriot to break camp
Whether or not he is the second-best starter on the team, Hill will start the season's fourth game. After Zambrano on Opening Day, Ted Lilly will start the second game. Followed by an unknown (likely Prior) pitcher, then Hill and Marquis.
The decision to add Ryan Theriot to the team was expected by most experts, but may come as a surprise to the casual fan. Theriot will become the team's sixth infielder, as Lee, DeRosa, Ramirez, and Izturis are the starters and Ward is the top bat off of the bench, leaving Ronny Cedeno in the minor leagues. The decision makes sense though; Cedeno is too good to not be playing every day, even if it is in Iowa. Right now, Theriot will serve as the utility infielder.
I project the team to go with five outfielders (Pagan as the fifth) and two catchers, leaving 7 relievers: my guesses would are Dempster, Eyre, Ohman, Cotts (if he doesn't start), Howry, Novoa, and Wood.
Friday, March 2, 2007
Zambrano fans four, guarantees title
Despite the 9-6 loss to LA (and not considering Zambrano's predictions), the Cubs continued to raise my expectations for the 2007 season. The team lost the game only thanks to five runs off of Clay Rapada, but the regulars looked real good. Matt Murton collected three hits and drove in four, while Derrek Lee's hit was his second in as many games. Also, Cesar Izturis responded to Piniella's search for a two-hole hitter by wrapping two hits and scoring twice from that position in the batting order.
The next few games will tell a lot more about this year's team; Miller, Hill, and Prior, all three of whom are going to have to stay healthy and consistent if the Cubs are to be successful in 2007, will start the next three games.
It's nice to be back in baseball season.
Friday, February 16, 2007
Questions rise as Wood is hurt...again
This is what is troubling to me:
According to the report, Wood suffered the injury on Monday (three days ago) and will be out another four to five days. That means that it will take an entire week for bruised rib to heal. Understandable, but why have the Cubs waited until now to inform the public?
In the past, the Cubs have been notorious for underestimating the length of recovery time for pitchers. Severely. I still remember three years ago when a five-to-ten day sideline for Mark Prior slowly turned into two weeks, then a month, then eventually three months.
I just want the club to be straight with me. What is wrong with Kerry Wood? Is he suffering all of these injuries from steriods and the team is having a hard time covering them up with lame excuses? After they've run out of legitimate excuses for long-term absences, has the team resorted to short-term excuses that progressively get longer? And when they finally ran out of those, is the team now reporting injuries that "happened" several days ago, so that they can artificially increase the recovery time? At this point, I wouldn't put it past them.
Right now, Kerry Wood doesn't concern me much. I didn't slate him to play any significant part on the team in 2007. Ryan Dempster is the closer and the rest of the bullpen looks just fine with Howry, Eyre, and Ohman. I just won't be surprised to hear in a couple of more days from now that "complications" arose from his injuries and that he would just need "a little more time" before he starts throwing. Kind of like when Wood said last year that he wasn't hurt, but was going on the disabled list anyway...
I'm just keeping my fingers crossed that Mark Prior doesn't sleepwalk into a mirror, sneeze too hard, or get hit by a comebacker in the next six weeks. Or six months, or six years. We need Prior for the rotation.
Thursday, February 15, 2007
Zambrano issues ultimatum, Ryu traded
Ryu posted an 8-8 record with a 3.23 ERA in 23 starts for Iowa (AAA) last year, despite struggling in 10 appearances with the major league club. In all, Ryu has a 36-28 record with a 3.42 ERA in 6 years with 6 different minor league teams within the Cubs organization. Lopez hit .256 with Princeton (R), while Reinhard posted a 6-10 record and a 4.50 ERA with Southwest Michigan (low-A). Ryu is expected to compete for a spot in the starting rotation.
The bigger news involving the Chicago Cubs, however, is the ultimatum that ace pitcher Carlos Zambrano issued. Zambrano and the team are currently set to undergo an arbitration hearing on February 20 if the two sides can not agree on a salary for the 2007 season. Of more importance, though, is the fact that Zambrano has stated if he isn't signed to a multi-year deal by February 20, he would not be a Cub in the 2008 season.
Zambrano, who tied for the league lead in wins last year, is believed to be wanting a contract similar to the one that Barry Zito received this past off-season, 7 years for $126 million.
I personally feel that the Cubs should pay Zambrano exactly what he wants. We already signed Soriano to a $136 million contract for eight years and failing to keep Zambrano on the team would be a big mistake. Without Zambrano, the value of the team decreases severely, and signing Soriano becomes a waste.
If Zambrano wants a Zito-esque contract right now, give it to him! The fact of the matter is that Zambrano stands to make much more than that should he test the waters nine months from now. If the Cubs need more time to negotiate (they've already have plenty, though), the Cubs should offer a reasonable amount to sign Zambrano for the 2007 season. Failing to avoid arbitration and/or sign Zambrano to a multi-year deal by Opening Day, however, is unacceptable.
Thursday, January 25, 2007
Cubs sign Floyd, release Rusch
Earlier during the off-season, center field was a major question mark for the team. According to manager Lou Piniella, Soriano insisted on playing a corner outfield spot and leading off before signing with the Cubs, leaving three players fighting for two positions and no center fielder. While it is likely that Soriano will lead off, the recently converted outfielder has agreed to give center field a try.
Finally, the off-season dilemmas have been resolved.
Also, the Cubs have also released Glendon Rusch. The left-hander, who posted a 3-8 record last season, missed the final weeks of the year due to a life-threatening blood clot in his lungs. After Rusch's condition did not improve in the following months, the Cubs had no choice but to grant his release. Rusch, however, does not intend retire.
Monday, January 22, 2007
Floyd close to signing; Zambrano, Prior not
Though many assumed that Jones would move to center field to accomodate Soriano, who came off of a 40-40 season last year while playing left field for the Nationals, manager Lou Piniella has hinted that he has considered starting Soriano in center field. Other rumors involved moving Mark DeRosa to center field to make room for Theriot or Cedeno. In any case, it appears that Felix Pie will start the year in Iowa (AAA), as he should.
After the Cubs signed lefty Will Ohman to a multi-year deal last week, pitchers Carlos Zambrano and Mark Prior are the only two Cubs yet to be signed for the 2007 season. Zambrano, who grabbed a share of the league lead in wins (16) last year despite not winning a game in his first seven starts, is seeking $15.5 million for next season. The Cubs have countered with just over $11 million and the two sides now have until February 1 to agree on a deal or take the case to salary arbitration.
If the case does go to a hearing, it would be the first time that Andy MacPhail has taken a player to arbitration, and it would also mean that Zambrano would become a free agent after the 2007 season. Keep in mind, all Zambrano needs to do is prove that he's worth more a penny over $13,262,500 to get the entire $15.5 million. Furthermore, it might be best to sign Zambrano to a long-term deal now, with Barry Zito's monster contract this off-season and surely more to come next season, the price tag on Zambrano would go up at the end of the season.
Zambrano, who has already been named the Opening Day starter, has stated that he does not want contract negotiations to continue once the season starts.
On the other hand, Mark Prior has been offered $3.4 million. The once highly coveted right-hander, has countered with $3.875 million, putting the half-way point very close to his salary of $3.65 million last season. Prior, who has won more than ten games only twice in his career, says that he is ready to return to the rotation full time, but why should we believe him? Personally, I've lost all hope in Mark Prior and don't see how he thinks he has a chance to win the case.
Friday, January 19, 2007
Samardzija chooses baseball, signs with Cubs
After posting a 1-2 record and a 2.70 ERA with the Boise Hawks and Peoria Chiefs, however, Jeff Samardzija signed a deal that could keep him with the Cubs organization potentially through the 2013 season. The former wide reciever earned a $2.5 million signing bonus and will make $10 million over the next five years. After that, the Cubs have an option for the 2012 and 2013 seasons.
Even though Bobby Brownlie didn't turn out exactly how I, and many others around the Cubs organization, had wanted him to turn out, adding another young arm in the farm system can't hurt. The price tag may appear to be excessive, but compared to the rest of the deals that the Cubs made this off-season, maybe it's not so bad.
Samardzija will likely start the season in Advanced-A Daytona.
Tuesday, January 16, 2007
Cubs still pursuing Floyd, other outfielders
The best option so far, I believe, is moving Jones to center field. While his defense might be a little scary, Jones' bat will be tough to replace if he is taken out of the lineup; Jacque has hit 23 or more homers in each of the last three seasons and four of the last five. None of the free agent outfielders previously mentioned could match that kind of production next year.
I also wouldn't mind moving DeRosa to center field, because it would open the door to Ronny Cedeno, though that move would considerably weaken the offense.
I think that Felix Pie has an excellent shot at being the Opening Day center fielder in 2008, but still needs another year in the minor leagues. (Had Pie not battled injuries -- like everyone else in a Cubs' uniform -- he likely would've filled the void left by Corey Patterson.) What I found interesting is why the Cubs refused to find a stopgap center fielder for this season. Sure, Pierre signed a long-term deal with the Dodgers, but former Cub Kenny Lofton signed a one-year deal with Texas. Having an outfielder like Lofton surely would put to rest any controversies in center field.
What I do know is that the Cubs' Opening Day center fielder should not come as a surprise, if it comes from within. While teams often find surprises during Spring Training as the Cubs did with Sean Marshall last year, there are way too many options and no center fielders that are even close to major-league ready (except maybe Pie) in the farm system.
Tuesday, December 19, 2006
Marquis officially joins Cubs, Hendry content
Cubs' GM Jim Hendry seems to be content for the moment, and he should be. After re-signing Ramirez, Wood and Miller, as well as adding free agents DeRosa, Soriano, Lilly, Ward, and Marquis, the Cubs have spent over $300 million this off-season. There are still a few issues that need to be addressed before the start of the season, though.
The Cubs would still like to add a left-handed bat in right-handed heavy offense, though Daryle Ward should be a threat off of the bench. Ward hit .345 in 113 at-bats last season against right-handers, posting a 1.032 OPS while slugging all 7 of his homeruns and collecting all 26 of his RBI's against righties. The team was interested in Cliff Floyd for a while, and though the interest has died down recently, Floyd is expected to remain a free agent for quite some time.
Center field also appears to be an issue of concern, as there currently isn't a clear-cut starter for the job. Though the team is leaning toward giving Felix Pie the job, the Cubs organization should be careful not to let Pie turn into another Corey Patterson. Moving Jacque Jones or Mark DeRosa to center field has also been considered.
Saturday, December 9, 2006
Report: Marquis to join Cubs
If you thought that paying Soriano $136 million over the next eight years or giving Lilly more than $40 million for the next four years was bad, wait till you hear what Hendry has agreed to pay Jason Marquis.
Though sources have been reporting figures between $20 and $28 million over the next three years, the Chicago Tribune announced Saturday that Marquis will join Lilly, Zambrano, and Hill in the rotation. Having to pay Izturis over $4 million next season doesn't seem too bad anymore, does it?
In any case, I still like the signing. I'm sick of worrying how much we're paying any of these players to come to Wrigley Field. The rotation needed help, and Marquis brings it. Sort of.
Marquis won 14 games last season, but finished with an ERA over 6, including a 3-10, 6.72 second-half. Marquis has shown some success in the past, however, posting a 15-7 record with a 3.71 ERA in 2004 and a 13-14 record, with a 4.13 ERA in 2005. Despite the fact that he's allowed an average of 30 homeruns per season over the last three years, Marquis has recorded almost 50% more groundouts than airouts in his career. Hopefully the thick grass at Wrigley Field will help him keep the bases empty when he does give up the homers.
Lilly, Ward sign with Cubs
We may have overpaid for Ted Lilly, as we have with Aramis Ramirez, Kerry Wood, Mark DeRosa, and Alfonso Soriano, but it seems like Jim Hendry is finally sick of losing. It’s about time, too.
Ted Lilly may not be a quality arm like Schmidt or Zito, but he is still a great addition to the team. Lilly posted a 15-13 record last year with a 4.31 ERA with the Blue Jays last year, and has averaged over 12 wins per year for the last four years. The pitching does not need to be as dominant as it was in 2003, because of the fact that the offense contains Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, and Barrett, who should, in all likelihood, combine for over 120 homeruns.
The starting rotation still lacks one arm though, as Lilly joins Zambrano, Hill, and Marshall. While Glendon Rusch, Wade Miller, or Mark Prior could take up the fifth spot in the rotation, the team should not enter the season having to count on one of them to step up.
I also like the addition of Daryle Ward. With Dusty Baker no longer around to play the wrong guys, shoring up the bench with quality pinch hitters is not a bad idea. Ward hit .308 last season in 98 games with the Braves and Nationals, while clubbing 7 homeruns in just 130 at-bats. Ward should serve as a backup at first base and the three outfield positions as well as giving Pinella a decent bat off of the left side of the bench.
Jim's real close to being done. But he's not done yet.Sunday, November 19, 2006
Cubs sign Soriano to record deal, still need pitching
It may be a little excessive, but it's nice to finally see Jim Hendry get off of his ass and get something accomplished. The length of the deal, of course, risks that Soriano might end up in a situation similar to that of Sosa at the end of his Cub career. That, however, is a long way's away; there's no need to worry about that now.
The offense is now solidified with another bona fide bat in the lineup to accompany Lee, Ramirez, and Barrett, but, the pitching, as it always has been from the beginning, is in trouble. This blockbuster deal likely means that the Cubs will not go after a big-name free-agent pitcher such as Zito or Matsuzaka, though rumors of the trade involving Westbrook still exist. One starting pitcher may not be enough, though; the rotation for 2007 as it stands now is Zambrano, Hill, Rusch, Miller, and Marmol/Marshall, as I refuse to consider Wood and Prior as options for the rotation.
Everything else on the team is fixed, except maybe a closer. Go get a couple of competent pitchers, Jim.
Thursday, November 16, 2006
Looks like Hendry didn't learn
Hendry is back at it again, trying his best to deplete what once was a farm system rich of young quality arms. After somehow miraculously getting David Aardsma for LaTroy Hawkins, Hendry has traded Aardsma and Carlos Vazquez for Neal Cotts. Of course, the addition of Cotts makes Eyre expendable, but I'm not quite sure what you can get for Eyre that you couldn't have gotten with Aardsma and Vazquez.
Besides, Cotts is another mediocre player to join the team; in 54 innings last year, Cotts allowed 33 runs and 88 baserunners. Meanwhile, Aardsma, in his last 22 innings with the big club, allowed only nine hits and four earned runs, while fanning 24. Vazquez, who is only 23, posted a 6-5 record with Daytona (high-A) and West Tenn (AA). He had a combined 2.75 ERA and allowed just 65 hits while striking out 91 in 85 innings over 54 appearances.
Tuesday, November 14, 2006
Cubs continue to add mediocrity
I don't understand why we continue to add mediocrity to the team and overpay for it.
The sooner Hendry understands that a player coming off of one good season does not deserve a multi-year, multi-million deal, the better off it would be. But, after numerous failures in the past, Hendry, unfortunately, hasn't learned.
Not only do we need to dish out $4 to Cesar Izturis next season, whose career on-base percentage is lower than both that of Patterson and Neifi Perez, now Mark DeRosa and his career .331 on-base percentage are owed $13 million in the next three years. Sure, DeRosa had a good season last year, but he was hitting in front of all of that power in the Rangers lineup. Prior to last season, DeRosa's career highs were 33 runs batted, 23 bases on balls, and 74 hits. DeRosa has has 21 homeruns over the past two years, but that's in Texas!
The most frustrating thing about this move is the fact that second base wasn't a main problem for next season. Center field remains a question mark as does the closer's spot, but the middle infield was covered by Theriot, Cedeno, and Izturis; we didn't need to add another weak bat at that price. But with only Carlos Zambrano and Rich Hill set for the rotation next year, the starting pitching should be the biggest concern! The free agent market in starting pitching is so rich this off-season, with guys like Schmidt, Zito, and Matsuzaka all looking for new teams; qll of the available funds should be spent there.
The signing of Kerry Wood also made me mad. Wood provided us with an average of two wins per season in the last couple of years, and we're paying him nearly $2 million? I suppose that's not as bad as the price tag on DeRosa and Izturis, because Wood actually has some talent, but if we were to bring back Kerry Wood after paying him well over $6 million per win (includes buyout) in the last two years, we shouldn't be paying him a penny over the league minimum.